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RefWatch – Bolton Wanderers v Arsenal (24/04/2011 16:00)

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RefWatch – Bolton Wanderers v Arsenal (24/04/2011 16:00)

By DogFace

  • Referee:              Mike Jones
  • Assistant 1:         Dave Bryan
  • Assistant 2:         Patrick Keane
  • 4th Official:        Chris Foy

Good afternoon stat-fans and welcome to RefWatch.  [Actually the original copy from Dogface said "Good morning" but I got up very late today, so it is afternoon.  Sorry. Tony]

Let’s have a look at Referee:

  • Full name:                          Mike Jones
  • Date of birth:                     18 April 1968 (1968-04-18) (age 43)
  • Place of birth:                   Chester, Cheshire, England
  • EPL Referee Since:          2008/2009
  • EPL Games to date:         55

Remind me again Andy, who’s supposed to win this one..?

Mike Jones hasn’t been too bad for us in the 5 matches he’s been at the whistle.  The 4th official today is Chris Foy – who also has, statistically, given us a fair crack of the whip.  As the end of this season draws nigh we should stop and wonder as to who is supposed to finish where and, indeed, how close and/or spectacular the league will get before the champion is crowned.


Mike Jones has had 6 games for Bolton Wanderers consisting of 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses

Bolton Wanderers are currently in 14th in Mike Jones’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 0.33 PPG.

In Mike Jones’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Bolton Wanderers come 11th with an average negative swing of -0.58.

Bolton Wanderers are currently in 9th in Mike Jones’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 2.00 BPM.

In Mike Jones’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Bolton Wanderers come 2nd with an overall average of 8.25 FPB.

Mike Jones has had 5 games for Arsenal consisting of 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses

Arsenal are currently in 1st in Mike Jones’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 2.60 PPG.

In Mike Jones’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 1st with an average positive swing of 2.10.

Arsenal are currently in 4th in Mike Jones’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 1.40 BPM.

In Mike Jones’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 9th with an overall average of 6.57 FPB.



What’s curious in the chart above is (Liverpool aside) the adherence to the Asian Handicap this season… a little over/under as you might expect – although I would say that this is more the exception than the rule.  I think I should also start modelling the betting line for the number of goals scored as I’m starting to get a little suspicious about how closely referee performance correlates to the Asian Black markets.

The other major consideration, I would say, would be the day/time the match is played… if we consider that the amount of money on a match could have an effect on the result – then playing other than 15:00 on a Saturday afternoon would put a greater focus and economic expectation as to that result.  It is fair to say that, if we assume that the EPL is fixed, then it is likely that the matches with the greatest audience would be the most fixed.

We will play this match at 23:00 Singapore time – the only EPL match that day.

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153 comments to RefWatch – Bolton Wanderers v Arsenal (24/04/2011 16:00)

  • avatar Dark Prince

    Mr Venger, i disagree with your criticism of Nasri’s defending on the post. Did u see that goal in real time? It was a header with lots of power and speed. No way Nasri could have reacted so fast. It should have been defended well. If you look at our first goal conceded, it was the same case. You cant let opponents hav a header at the 6 yard box like that. Nasri was quick to react that time, but still not quick enough to save the rebound.

  • avatar Mr Venger

    He had his hands on his hips, Ive seen many clearances over the years from the same situation just because the man on the post instinctively jumps to cover as much of the goal as possible because he’s alert and will do anything to stop a goal going in. Cashley was excellent at that. Some times they help it on into the goal, sometimes they get lucky, but my point is that with what was at stake in a match like yesterday, and at especially at that point of the match, standing casually with your hands on your hips is just not good. whether or not djouro was late to the header, he has to expect that the attacker may get to the ball first as part of his job at the post. This is one of the main things that we need to be more determined about to make the difference to our defense

  • avatar Mr Venger

    The man on the post need to defend the goal like his life depends on it! I’m not sure we always have that outlook in certain situations. Thats what is frustrating because its a basic necessity